This outcome resolves to Yes if the Decision Value is higher than the Prior Value under the parent question's rules. This market has three possible results: No change, Decrease, or Increase. Exactly one corresponding named outcome resolves to Yes; the other two and the protocol-created fallback resolve to No.
It covers the September 2026 Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee decision concerning the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate, scheduled for 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC UTC (the "Decision").
The Decision Value is the numeric value of the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate announced by realityArbSepolia: 0x05ce5359 213f8d53 31133de9 fc2cfd23 c056a1c4 5ee4256c 1541d4ef 250b36a6. The Prior Value is the value of that same measure in effect immediately before the Decision.
No change resolves to Yes if the Decision Value equals the Prior Value. Decrease resolves to Yes if the Decision Value is lower. Increase resolves to Yes if the Decision Value is higher.
If the Decision is rescheduled, the rescheduled decision applies if realityArbSepolia: 0x05ce5359 213f8d53 31133de9 fc2cfd23 c056a1c4 5ee4256c 1541d4ef 250b36a6 publishes it by 2026-10-28 23:59 UTC UTC. If the Decision is canceled or postponed without a replacement decision, or no official Decision Value is published by 2026-10-28 23:59 UTC UTC, No change resolves to Yes.
Policy changes outside the scheduled Decision are ignored except when establishing the Prior Value. If Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee replaces the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate, the closest official successor measure identified by realityArbSepolia: 0x05ce5359 213f8d53 31133de9 fc2cfd23 c056a1c4 5ee4256c 1541d4ef 250b36a6 is used.
Resolution uses the initially published decision; later revisions do not change the resolution. realityArbSepolia: 0x05ce5359 213f8d53 31133de9 fc2cfd23 c056a1c4 5ee4256c 1541d4ef 250b36a6 is the primary resolution source; independent reputable reporting may be used if it has not published the relevant decision.
No change resolves to Yes under the deadline rule above only if neither realityArbSepolia: 0x05ce5359 213f8d53 31133de9 fc2cfd23 c056a1c4 5ee4256c 1541d4ef 250b36a6 nor independent reputable reporting establishes a Decision Value by 2026-10-28 23:59 UTC UTC.
