This outcome resolves to Yes if the Decision Value equals the Prior Value, or if the parent question's cancellation, postponement, or decision-deadline rule applies. This market has three possible results: No change, Decrease, or Increase. Exactly one corresponding named outcome resolves to Yes; the other two and the protocol-created fallback resolve to No.
It covers the FOMC FED decision concerning Interest rates, scheduled for 2026-08-21 03:48 UTC UTC (the "Decision"). The Decision Value is the numeric value of Interest rates announced by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Prior Value is the value of that same measure in effect immediately before the Decision.
No change resolves to Yes if the Decision Value equals the Prior Value. Decrease resolves to Yes if the Decision Value is lower. Increase resolves to Yes if the Decision Value is higher. If the Decision is rescheduled, the rescheduled decision applies if Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes it by 2026-08-29 03:48 UTC UTC.
If the Decision is canceled or postponed without a replacement decision, or no official Decision Value is published by 2026-08-29 03:48 UTC UTC, No change resolves to Yes. Policy changes outside the scheduled Decision are ignored except when establishing the Prior Value.
If FED replaces Interest rates, the closest official successor measure identified by Bureau of Labor Statistics is used. Resolution uses the initially published decision; later revisions do not change the resolution. Bureau of Labor Statistics is the primary resolution source; independent reputable reporting may be used if it has not published the relevant decision.
