This Economics market covers the question of whether the US federal government takes an equity stake in Nvidia between Yes and No in the 2026 US Federal Government Stake in Nvidia by 2027-01-01, mirroring Kalshi, scheduled for 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC UTC (the "Contest").
It resolves to Yes if kalshi.com's official result names Yes the winner, and to No if that result names No the winner. The official result includes all periods and tiebreak procedures that kalshi.com treats as part of the Contest.
If the Contest is postponed, delayed, or suspended, the result of the Contest as ultimately completed applies if a listed participant is named the winner by 2027-01-08 15:00 UTC UTC. A listed participant named the winner after an abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, retirement, withdrawal, or administrative decision also applies.
The market resolves to 0.5 if kalshi.com records a draw, tie, co-winners, no contest, or no winner; names anyone other than the listed participants as the winner; cancels the Contest without a replacement; or has not named a listed participant the winner by 2027-01-08 15:00 UTC UTC. kalshi.com is the primary resolution source; independent reputable reporting may be used if it has not published the relevant result.
Once resolved, later appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments do not change the resolution. This market is not endorsed by or affiliated with kalshi.com; names and marks are descriptive only.