This Politics market covers the race for Senate control between Democrats and Republicans in the 2026 US Midterms Senate Control, scheduled for 2026-11-04 05:00 UTC UTC (the "Contest"). It resolves to Yes if https://www.congress.gov/'s official result names Democrats the winner, and to No if that result names Republicans the winner.
The official result includes all periods and tiebreak procedures that https://www.congress.gov/ treats as part of the Contest. If the Contest is postponed, delayed, or suspended, the result of the Contest as ultimately completed applies if a listed participant is named the winner by 2027-02-15 12:00 UTC UTC.
A listed participant named the winner after an abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, retirement, withdrawal, or administrative decision also applies.
The market resolves to 0.5 if https://www.congress.gov/ records a draw, tie, co-winners, no contest, or no winner; names anyone other than the listed participants as the winner; cancels the Contest without a replacement; or has not named a listed participant the winner by 2027-02-15 12:00 UTC UTC. https://www.congress.gov/ is the primary resolution source; independent reputable reporting may be used if it has not published the relevant result.
Once resolved, later appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments do not change the resolution. This market is not endorsed by or affiliated with https://www.congress.gov/; names and marks are descriptive only.
